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Las Vegas oddsmakers tab Miami Heat as favorites to win 2012 NBA title

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Here's some good news for Laker fans: Coach Mike Brown will be good enough to keep the team competitive in the 2012 NBA playoffs.

Here's some bad news for Laker fans: That effort still won't be enough to win the 2012 NBA title.

Here's some good news for Laker fans: The Miami Heat imploded in the NBA Finals against the Dallas Mavericks.

Here's some bad news for Laker fans: The Heat will beat the Lakers in the 2012 NBA Finals.

Before you hurl pitchforks at me or unleash fire and brimstone, the above declarations simply reflect what the oddsmakers at Bodog Sports are predicting for next season, with the Heat holding 5-to-2 odds that they'll bounce back from a disappointing NBA Finals finish and the Lakers holding 11-to-2 odds that talks about the end of a dynasty are premature.

Jay Kornegay, director of the Las Vegas Hilton Race and Sports book, has tabbed the Heat as 2-to-1 favorites, unless the Chicago Bulls (6-to-1) get past them. That puts the Lakers (7-to-1) in a third-place tie with the Dallas Mavericks and Oklahoma City Thunder. Hey, at least the Purple & Gold are ahead of the Boston Celtics (8-to-1) or the Minnesota Timberwolves (300-to-1). 

"There's some better teams out there right now than the Lakers," Kornegay said. "The Heat still have all the pieces. The salary cap will come into play, but we still think they'll most likely find a couple of guys willing to play for that team at a budgeted price. The Bulls and Thunder are very similar, very young and have a lot of talent. The desire still remains with those two teams. And then you have the Mavericks, which just won the NBA title. We won't be sure how they'll react, however, after they climbed the mountain and the desire they will have. The only thing the Heat will have to reevaluate is why LeBron [James] doesn't shoot more. I'm sure they will. They're not that far off." 

As for the Lakers? Well, there are some issues to fix. Many of the bets reflect how poorly the Lakers ended their 2011 postseason with a four-game sweep to Dallas. But Kornegay lists a few other factors that are keeping the Lakers from being the favorites, including the team's aging roster ("Kobe [Bryant] is not a young pup anymore; he's got some miles on him") and the uncertainty regarding the hiring of Mike Brown ("The coaching change is going to be a challenge for the players and the coach as well.")

Keep in mind, however, what Pro Basketball Talk's Kurt Helin pointed out. The bookmaker's role entails predicting how the public will bet their money than actually assessing whether that prediction will pan out. Case in point, MGM Mirage's race and sports director Jay Rood said last year that he disagreed with predictions the Heat would win in the 2011 NBA Finals but still pinned them as the favorites because of public sentiment. Besides, Kornegay expects the NBA betting to pick up in the fall, even if there is a work stoppage.

"Money on the Lakers will be flowing in," he said. "Laker fans are pretty optimistic. They haven't turned on them. They're obviously still a very good team. They just have to overcome some challenges of getting older, there being a couple better teams and obviously the coaching changes. That's going to be a big adjustment for everyone. 

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Las Vegas oddsmaker disagrees with public sentiment that Miami Heat will beat the Lakers in the NBA Finals

-- Mark Medina

E-mail the Lakers blog at mgmedin@gmail.com

Photo: The Las Vegas skyline. Credit: Brian Jones / Associated Press

 
Comments () | Archives (22)

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"still pinned them because of public sentiment"???. i thought it was a business

Lance - Pinned them as favorites in reflecting the odds.

After the Heat's performance in the series, I don't see them winning the championship in 2012. The character of Lebron and Wade as being self-absorbed individuals will continue to hurt the team's chances. The Decision, Dirk-gate, Lebron's King James tweet, etc.. is a just a glimpse of what's in store for the future. In my opinion, we'll see teams like Chicago and OKC, who are more humbled and focused, win championships before seeing James hoist the Larry O'Brien.

LeBron to Heat haters: Worry about your own problems

ahahaaha

thats a headline by the way,

and we better win the 2012 title or I will go crazy!

MM - I heard something about an "altercation" in the Heat locker room after the game last night...any word on what went down? And why were the Heat exec's and Nike in there with princess's agent, etc? That's more interesting to me than Vegas oddsmakers....

Yo Mark,

Can we have the chat a little earlier today? lets say around 3ish instead of 4?


@NMLL .... It ain’t as good as the Lakers winning but it sure takes the edge off our early exit to have the Mavs be the ones who won it all. I never liked the Mavs before, primarily due to Marc Cuban, but I found myself enjoying their great play immensely. It was the best non-Lakers NBA Finals ever.
.....................................................................
@LTLF ... Sorry to hear that news about Yao. I’m hoping he is able to come back and play. I would rather see Drew play the entire year like he did during the 17-1 post all-star break run and win DPOY. All-Star starting role will come in time. After all, Drew is still only 23 years old, practically a baby.
...
Man, your Lakerholic tendencies are really showing if you clicked through a 36-page Bleacher report. Aside from usually being poorly written, clicking on their link requires infinite patience. Clicking on 36 links should win you the dedicated Laker clicker of the Day award. LOL.
.....................................................................
@MM ... Has anybody from the Time contacted Twitter and TypePad to resolve this situation? It’s undermining all the goodwill we rebuilt after the login decision. Probably LeBron’s fault I bet. Knowing China, they will probably put their hackers to work with write-in votes in Chinese.
...
By the way, Lakers fans. 11/2 odds are the best I’ve seen for the Lakers in the last 5 years. This is a chance finally for us to make some money. I think I’m going to send Lewsters a $100 to place on the Lakers to win $550 back when we win the championship next year. Not G Money but EZ money.
.....................................................................
@GDUB ... You, I, and Nuggets Country all had it called right. If I missed anyone else who thought the Mavs would prevail, speak up and enjoy your 15 seconds of fame. LOL. The crows all in Miami.
…………………………………………………………….
LAKER-TOM


JAMF - I wasn't in Miami so I know as much as you do. Thanks for ripping my post. Now you're making me cry like Chris Bosh

TechN9ne - Sure we'll move the chat up to 3

Laker Tom - We have contacted Typepad numerous times. It's always met with tepid and cliched responses. Basically we all don't like the service, but we're unfortunately at the mercy of what Tribune says.

@ Mark

THANK YOU VERY MUCH! for moving up the chat! your a champ!!
you should get a ring with Dirk ahahah

But you shouldn't cry like Chris Bosh ahaha he almost fell down on the way walking to the locker room...

also, didn't Vegas have the odds that Miami will take the Title this year? What happend? did they mess it up? or they jumped on the Mav's back on this one...

so honestly who cares what Vegas says, its better if they say Lakers wont win the title so at least will have a shot, this year they said Miami but they failed, so as long as they don't say Lakers will win it all, then who cares what Vegas picks, they just wan't to win money, weather win or loose so its a gamble, dosn't mean anything important, just a fancy guess I guess lol

G-Money
Can you and your boy Lechoke please pass the popcorn? I guess the coronation of the new king is not going to happen after all. I guess eight is better than 3 after all. Just can throw guys with them same type of game together and expect them to win it they're first time out.

Island Priest
You should be considering a trader. All yr you've been finding ways to poke fun at Kobe's game and bigging up Lebron's game at the expense of downing Kobe's game. Now you should realize that what Kobe has accomplish over his career isn’t easy to accomplish with out some kind of skill. Score board baby Kobe 5 rings Lebron 0.

GO Lakers!

Hey we got the chat box rolling

"JAMF - ... "Thanks for ripping my post."

Posted by: Mark Medina | June 13, 2011 at 02:02 PM

________

LOL LOL LOL... Very funny $h!t MM


@GDUB ... You, I, and Nuggets Country all had it called right. If I missed anyone else who thought the Mavs would prevail, speak up and enjoy your 15 seconds of fame. LOL. The crows all in Miami.
…………………………………………………………….
LAKER-TOM

Posted by: Tom Wong | June 13, 2011 at 01:44 PM


@LakerTom
I want my 15 seconds of fame. I picked Dallas in 6 and said it many times. In fact, LRob can attest to this; I picked the Mavs from the begging of the playoffs before round 1. I broke down all the playoff teams and said I thought the Mavs were a complete team from top to bottom, the deepest team with all the right parts along with great shooting. I asked what’s not to like about this Mavs team.

Of course I had to pick the Lakers over the Mavs using my heart but my brain told me otherwise. Once they moved past the Lakers I never thought for a second that they would not be the NBA champions. The one thing that I did leave out and couldn’t imagine was the genius of the Mavs coaching staff; they were as impressive as anything or any player in the whole series.

NBA4ever

Oclezy I am a laker fan first and foremost. I always said kobe was the 2nd best player to play the game after jordan. That is a great compliment. Now do I rip kobe for being selfish and not a team player a lot of times? Of course. Is kobe self absorbed? You better believe it. I felt that the chemistry issues caused the lakers down fall and not the talent. Kobe sets the tone and his eating first is not good basketball and messes up team chemistry. Look at dirk, he is the man but plays within the offense.


@NBA4EVER ... Great call, Sean. I have to admit I didn’t give the Mavs any respect based on their previous playoff performances. After they beat the Lakers, I felt they could take anybody if they shot the way they did against us. This was one of those live or die by outside shooting situations where the hot shooting team actually won it all. As noted by the announcers, the best 3-point shooting ever in an NBA Finals. The big question is whether that is a trend we will start to see repeating itself as everybody scrambles for those 40% 3-point shooters. Makes it hard to sign the shooters we need.
…………………………………………………………….
LAKER-TOM

Nobody knows who will win anything -- no guarantees there'll even be a 2011-2012 season, that the current rosters will stay in tact -- lots of variables will go into determining all those things..injuries and so on, re, re, re, But suddenly these moneymakers oddsmakers are clairvoyant or what have you.

Whatever..

I thought I said: I don't think the Miami Heat are built right.

In no way did I imagine that LBJ would crash & burn in such an EPIC fashion.
EPIC!!!!

I guess that just puts the last touch on the 2008 Olympics doesn't it.

Oclezy I am a laker fan first and foremost. I always said kobe was the 2nd best player to play the game after jordan. That is a great compliment. Now do I rip kobe for being selfish and not a team player a lot of times? Of course. Is kobe self absorbed? You better believe it. I felt that the chemistry issues caused the lakers down fall and not the talent. Kobe sets the tone and his eating first is not good basketball and messes up team chemistry. Look at dirk, he is the man but plays within the offense.

Posted by: Island Priest | June 13, 2011 at 03:24 PM


No problem man i can respect your opinion.Kobe does go outside of the offense sometimes and cause the Lakers at times.I also feel that if the Lakers had their act together they wouldn't have been able to get by the Mavs.Funny thing about Kobe;the same thing that makes him a problem in the offense at times,is the same things that make him bad sometimes.We just have to take the good with the bad when it comes to Kobe,cause after all he won us a few championships.When i look at the performance of the Miami Heat llast night when it came down to the 4th qt no body seemed to wanted to take a shot.They all ran from the ball like it was hot potatoe.Championships aren't easy to come by.

Go Lakers

Oclezy I am a laker fan first and foremost. I always said kobe was the 2nd best player to play the game after jordan. That is a great compliment. Now do I rip kobe for being selfish and not a team player a lot of times? Of course. Is kobe self absorbed? You better believe it. I felt that the chemistry issues caused the lakers down fall and not the talent. Kobe sets the tone and his eating first is not good basketball and messes up team chemistry. Look at dirk, he is the man but plays within the offense.

Posted by: Island Priest | June 13, 2011 at 03:24 PM
------

Dirk does eats first! There is no way your franchise player eats second! You must be dreaming.

Kobe eating first is good for basketball, it has always been that case for all champions, reason why he has 5 rings.

The phrase "plays within the offense" is so over blown. Kobe always plays within the offensive scheme as do all the greats of yester years. They are the focal point of the offense, to say that they play outside of the offense is rather irrelevant. Whether it is triangle offense or princeton or voodoo offense. If you are the center piece of the team you become the centerpiece of the offense. Until he is no longer the main man, the offense should run through him every time.

LeChoke won't ever win anything with that massive Ego On his shoulders!!!!!!!!!


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